December 13, 2008
Why Simple Put Options Buying Fail in Volatile Markets
Volatile market conditions are especially bad for buying stock options due to 2 reasons. Firstly, the extreme volatility resulted in extremely high implied volatility which increases the extrinsic value of options dramatically, depressing its profitability. Secondly, extreme volatility leads to extreme speculation which encourages market makers to open up the bid ask spread to an unreasonably wide level in order to fill their own pockets.
Extrinsic value is the price one pays to the seller of stock options in order to justify the risk undertaken by the seller for giving such a right to the buyer. This price is arrived at in theory by options pricing models such as the Black-Scholes model. Extrinsic value directly affects the profitability of the options as the higher the extrinsic value of an option, the more the underlying stock needs to move in order to breakeven or profit. For example, if two options based on the same underlying stock, the same strike price and expiration month have different extrinsic values (of course this cannot be the case in reality), the option with the higher extrinsic value will make lesser money in profit than the option with the lower extrinsic value when the underlying stock moves by the same amount when held to expiration.
Extrinsic value is affected mainly by the level of implied volatility of the underlying stock. If the underlying stock is expected to make big moves, implied volatility goes up and the extrinsic values of its options go up as well. In times of extreme market volatility, extrinsic values go up dramatically across the board, depressing the profitability of options. In fact, one could end up losing more money than usual if the stock does not move according to expectations due to the higher extrinsic value paid. This is why a lot of amateur options traders who simply bought put options recently failed to make much money or any at all. This situation is made even worse by the wide bid ask spreads provided by the market makers.
Market makers are whom options traders really trade options with. When you buy an option, you are really buying directly from market makers who hold an inventory of those options and when you sell options, you are really selling back to these market makers who want to maintain an inventory of those options. Market makers buy and sell options in the exchange, ensuring the liquidity of all options contracts and profit primarily from the bid ask spread that they provide, buying at the bid and selling at the ask. They function exactly like used car dealers, buying at lower prices and selling at higher prices. Typically, the more actively traded the options are, the closer the bid ask spread tend to be due to competition between market makers, however, in times of extreme volatility where there are a lot more buying and selling on panic and more than enough business to go around for all market makers, they usually open up the bid ask spread in order to make even more profits. That is why we saw unusually wide bid ask spreads in this recent crisis. Wider bid ask spreads result in larger upfront losses which again depress the already depressed profitability of stock options due to the higher extrinsic values.
The higher extrinsic value and wider bid ask spread makes profiting from simple stock options buying extremely difficult and are the main reasons why amateur options traders fail to make money buying put options during the recent stock market crisis. Conversely, writing options are an extremely profitable way to trade options during a volatile market where extrinsic values are high. Naked writes and Credit Spreads are really the way to go in a volatile market condition and are what most beginner options traders do not know about. Selling options instead of buying them turns the table around and creates an extremely profitable position during times of high extrinsic value. Learn more about credit spreads at http://www.optiontradingpedia.com/free_debit_credit_spread.htm now.
By: Jason Ng
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Filed under Finance by Administrator
October 31, 2008
The Truth about Stock Options and Options On Futures Trading
1) Contracts to buy blocks of stocks by a certain date 2) Commodity futures which are options to buy blocks of hard goods by a certain date
If you have options on 10,000 bushels of corn, whoever sold it to you cannot sell it to someone else until the expiration date of your contract has expired. In exchange for giving you this right, they wrote the contract and took money from you. If you don’t exercise your options prior to the expiration date, they will expect full control of their corn again, and will sell it someone else. What makes options such fascinating instruments are these facts:
1) With options you can sell that which you don’t own or ever plan on buying 2) You can buy something you don’t ever plan on physically holding and sell it for a profit
Another great thing about options is their inherent flexibility: although you have the right to buy or sell a certain stock or commodity, the choice is yours. You’re not forced to exercise your options. You can always sell your options contract to someone else. Many traders of commodities and options always sell the contracts only and have never taken physical possession of any underlying asset they’ve ever traded. The leverage in options gives you a chance to earn extremely high returns. These types of options we’re describing are referred to as covered options. With covered options you actually plan on or do own the underlying asset that you purchase options contracts for. Uncovered options are the exact opposite. Like the word uncovered means exposed, uncovered or naked options are considered more dangerous, because you are merely speculating without having an ownership interest. You are exposed to the risk without the benefit of owning the asset.
Options trading involves a great deal of leverage in the form of margin loans to your trading account. All options trades are highly leveraged, so you need to add margin interest to your calculated costs when considering a career in trading options. Pricing and potential returns on options trading depend very much on real world circumstances. If you purchase corn futures, for instance, there are literally hundreds of variables that affect the price of the corn, and hence your investment. If a corn shortage is expected in a certain part of the world, your investment might hit big because the price of corn could rise dramatically. On the contrary, perhaps government subsidies have introduced a glut of corn into the world market. In that case, your investment might tumble. Futures contracts for commodities and options contracts on stocks are strictly based on guessing what events will happen in the future. Of course you’ll always attempt to make as accurate as a guess as possible, but let’s face facts: in this world unforeseen things can and do happen. For this reason, protect your downside, and only invest with money you can afford to lose. Options trading can be very profitable, but unsurpisingly it’s also very risky.
By: Darren Mclaughlin
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October 19, 2008
Are you Trading Stocks, Futures or Forex in ’3d’ or ’2d’?
What I thought immediately after reading this was ‘so what’! Now don’t get me wrong, I have a lot of respect for this guy sending me the email, but it reinforces a belief I have that too many traders see trading as 2 dimensional. Let me explain…
If I was guaranteed to make 20 pips a month, this is guaranteed, without fail; then what is that worth to me? If there was no limit to the number of lots I can trade, what’s stopping me from trading 20 lots or even 50 lots? Well it’s the amount of capital and leverage I have available to me of course, but that’s not my point.
If I am able to trade 50 lots on this guaranteed 20 pips a month then that is worth $10,000 a month to me, just on a gain of 20 pips. Which do you think will be harder to achieve and more time consuming, making 20 pips a month or making 1000 pips a month?
The same goes for ROI per month and this may relate more to stock, futures and options traders. I get calls all the time from traders wanting to learn how to make 20-30% ROI per month consistently. When I ask them why such a high return a common answer is ‘I only have a small amount of capital, such as $10000, and I want to make $2000-3000 per month’.
If you think in ‘3D’, then which do you think would be easier to achieve by way of time, effort and learning, making 20-30% per month consistently or starting out with say $20000 and making 10-15% consistently per month? Either way the desired result of $2000-3000 a month is achieved.
If your reply was, “well, I only have what I have (say $10,000)”, then my response to you is; in the time it will take you to learn how to make 20-30% consistently every month, you would have been able to save well more than your original capital.
When I was a student of Peter Bain, one of Peter’s shining examples of a success was a student from South Africa who had taken his trading to the point where he was consistently making $50-55K a month! I can tell you now, he didn’t have to make a 1000 pips month to achieve this, in fact it was less than half this. This student learnt how to think in ‘3D’.
By: Dean T Whittingham
About the Author:
Dean Whittingham created A Traders Universe – Trading System Development in 2005 as a resource site for traders of all levels, with eduction, courses, brokers, tips, free videos, newsletters, trading systems, simulations and a free 7 step process for building a profitable stock, futures or forex trading system.
Filed under Investing by Administrator
October 15, 2008
Investing in Stock Options – What you Need to Know About Options
Basic Terms:
Call Options- these give the owner the right to buy a stock at a specified price, within a specified amount of time. Investors who buy call options are hoping that the stock value increases before the option expiration date.
Put Options- these give the owner the right to sell a stock at a specified price, within a specified amount of time. Investors who buy put options are hoping that the stock value decreases before the option expiration date.
Strike Price- the price that the option can be bought or sold at.
Options Investor Types: Buyers of Call Options, Sellers of Call Options, Buyers of Put Options, Sellers of Put Options
There is an important difference between the investors who buy and investors who sell options. Investors who buy puts and calls have the choice to exercise their option contracts. Investors who sell puts or calls have the obligation to exercise their options contracts.
The price of a stock option must go above the strike price for investors to exercise and make a profit on call options and the price must go below the strike price for investors to make a profit on put options. When options fall into these ranges, they are called “in the money”.
Options can be used for a wide range of trading scenarios, such as:
-Reducing your risk from stock ownership
-Generating an income from stock you already hold
-Speculative trading in an up or down market
-Multi leg option strategies to take advantage of specific market action
-Volatility based strategies to take advantage of market volatility even if you do not know which way the market will go.
While is it true that options take some time to understand and to master, most people agree that once they have spent the time to properly educate themselves about options, that they are much better off for doing so.
Many stock traders I know, once learning about options have never traded a single stock again. They can make more money, and take less risk by using a properly structured option strategy.
So if anyone is still on the fence, it’s definitely worth taking the time to learn about options.
By: Mika Hamilton
About the Author:
To learn more about investing in stock options, and how you can harness the power of options in your trading or investing, visit http://www.optiontradersjournal.com for a free ebook and online video about options.
Filed under Finance by Administrator
October 11, 2008
Ten Top Tips to Trade Stock Options Successfully – #5
There are several strategies and ways to exit a trade and you must decide which way (or ways) suits you. It is infinitely more difficult to decide when to exit a trade than when to enter it because it is at this time that you will either be making a profit or taking a loss! You will be faced with a myriad of different emotions while you are in a trade, most notably fear and greed. Fear appears in several different forms, fear of losing a profit already made, fear of getting out too early, fear of taking a loss and facing a mistaken trade. Greed also rears its ugly head by encouraging you to stay too long in a winning trade and possibly giving back some or all of your gains. There is an old adage on Wall Street that says ?Bulls can make money, bears can make money but pigs always get slaughtered.?
As I mentioned you must determine what suits you when it comes to deciding how much of a loss you can handle and how much of a profit you want to take. This is a direct reflection of your risk to reward ratio. For example, I often say ?I never feel bad when taking a profit?. I like to take profits when I see them and I generally have a fixed dollar figure or percentage in mind. Unless there is no good reason to exit the trade I will take my profits and if the trade keeps going in my direction after I have exited it doesn?t bother me. Conversely I always have a fixed % loss I will accept. Some people would not be able to handle leaving money ?on the table? so they may prefer to let their trades run, but then they may need larger stop losses as well. When trading options stop losses need to be much larger than when you trade stocks because options are so much more volatile. For example if you set a 10% stop loss it could easily get triggered during a normal intraday move. Bear in mind that there is not as much at risk when trading options as opposed to trading stocks. The capital investment is much smaller so a larger stop loss will not impact your account as much.
Some good rules of thumb are: First if there is profit on the table and the underlying stock breaks down or crosses below its 7 day moving average, take the profit. It is very painful to watch a profitable trade lose value while you wait for it to reverse. Don’t let that happen. However if market conditions have not changed and your technical analysis supports staying in the trade make sure you do not exit too early. Often the most outstanding profits are made by patient traders. Second, always exit the trade if you are at a 50% loss. Chances are if you are in a trade that is losing 50% it will keep going that way. It is imperative you preserve your capital in order to trade again. Third, always exit a trade if there is 30 days or less before expiration. During the month before expiration time decay can rob you blind of the value of your option.
I trust this has given you some things to consider when deciding to exit your trades, stay tuned for next week?s installment where we will discuss how to put together a complete trading plan.
US Government required disclaimer: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500 Chicago, IL 60606 (1-800-678-4667).
By: Roger Cox
About the Author:
Roger Cox hails from New Zealand and now lives in Los Angeles. He was President of an international freight corporation before he started his own consulting company. Roger has successfully traded stock options, for more than four years and loves teaching others to do the same at http://www.prosperitywithoptions.com
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Derivatives such as futures and options are leverage instruments and by virtue of being leverage instruments, derivatives inherently carry more risk and exposure than pure and simple stock trading. Leverage instruments are risky because leverage allows you to do more with the same amount of money than you would normally be able to. Yes, leverage instruments such as futures and options have the potential to generate over 10 times more profit on the same move on the price of a stock than just buying the stock itself.
What most beginners to derivatives trading do not take into consideration is the fact that leverage is a double edged sword. Just as it could help you generate over 10 times more profits on the same move, it could also incur as much losses should the stock move against your favor. This is also why many beginners to futures or options trading lose their shirts so quickly and go broke.
So, why is futures and options trading still so popular then?
Very simply, most beginners with only a small fund and wants to build up a significant fund quickly could not depend on simple stock trading for a start. They need more leverage and they can afford to take more risk since the amount at stake is usually pretty small. With this in mind, the only question that remains is, which is safer for beginners? Futures or Options?
To determine which is riskier, we need to ascertain certain the qualities that constitutes “Risk”. For derivative instruments, the main qualities that constitute trading risk are: Leverage, Liability, Liquidity and Versatility (fulfillment obligation is usually not a concern in trading as traders rarely hold till expiration).
Liquidity in the stock futures and stock options market is definitely lower than the stocks themselves but is enough for the trading purpose of retail beginners and shall be excluded in this discussion.
Leverage
Leverage of futures and options is the multiplication effect on your money versus buying the underlying stock itself. We shall not go into detailed discussion on how leverage is being calculated for futures and options here. It suffices to know that the higher the leverage, the higher your potential profits and losses becomes. Leverage in futures is a lot higher than the leverage in stock options due to the much higher lot size and low margin requirement. This makes futures trading riskier than options trading in terms of potential losses due to leverage.
Find out how leverage is calculated in options trading at http://www.optiontradingpedia.com/options_leverage.htm .
Liability
Liability here means the maximum amount of loss you bear when things go wrong. Yes, we all make wrong investment decisions all the time and derivative trading is no exception. When you buy stock options, the maximum loss you can sustain is the amount of money you used in purchasing those stock options. When things go wrong, those stock options become worthless and you can lose no more than that. However, in futures trading, you are exposed to unlimited liability and will be made to top up your trading account with the daily loss amount in what is called a “Margin Call”. As long as your position continues to go south, you continue to top up your losses until you go broke or the stock gets to the bottom. Either way, you could have lost all your fortune in one go. That risk along with the fact that you have higher leverage in futures trading makes futures trading a lot riskier than options trading.
Versatility
Versatility here refers to the ability to profit in more than one direction. Logic says that if you can profit in more than one direction, risk is much lower than when you can only profit in one direction, right? Yes, stock options trading is highly versatile as there are options strategies that can be created to profit from 2 or more directions! Futures trading is basically single directional. You are either the short or the long. Never both, unless used in combination with the underlying stock, which increases capital requirement and defeats the purpose of leverage.
Get a full list of Options Strategies at http://www.optiontradingpedia.com/options_strategy_library.htm .
In conclusion, futures trading is riskier than options trading for the retail beginner to derivatives trading because of higher leverage, unlimited liability and lower versatility. This is also why options trading is slowly taking over as the derivative instrument of choice for the beginner derivatives trader. To learn all about options trading, please visit http://www.optiontradingpedia.com .
By: Jason Ng
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Filed under Finance by Administrator
October 6, 2008
Seeking Support as a Stock, Options and Forex Trader
If you know what you’re supposed to be doing with your trading but you aren’t because you lack discipline, then you may need to find a few people to make you accountable. In other words, you list 10 things you’re supposed to do this week, and tell them. If you break any of your rules, or don’t do these 10 things, then you must confess.
A forum is a great place to find these sorts of people, but do bear in mind, you must know what you want. Those that float aimlessly in trading can also bring other traders down with them.
Floating aimlessly in trading is the same as floating aimlessly through life. If you don’t know what you want, where on earth are you going to go? Nowhere, you just float with no direction. This is a terrible curse to have, especially in the field of business.
Trading is a business and as such must be treated like one. If you decide to go into business for yourself, I would assume that you would put a lot of planning into it. You’re probably going to try and seek help from professionals such as accountants and so on, but you also should seek support.
If you have family to support you, all good. If you don’t then get out there and find people with similar ambitions. It’s not hard, every major city throughout the world has groups of people who get together and discuss trading. Meeting with such people on a regular basis can aid you greatly in your planning and execution.
But most of all, have fun. I meet up with several groups and sometimes we don’t even discuss trading. We’ll start talking about something else, and before we know it, it’s late. It’s the bonding between a group of people that can have an uplifting effect on each individual….
By: Dean T Whittingham
About the Author:
Dean Whittingham created A Traders Universe – Trading System Development in 2005 as a resource site for traders of all levels, with eduction, courses, brokers, tips, free videos, newsletters, trading systems, simulations and a free 7 step process for building a profitable stock, futures or forex trading system.
Filed under Investing by Administrator
In case you don’t know what a stock option is let me explain. Simply, a stock option gives you the right to control the ownership of a stock for a fraction of the price to buy it. There are two types of options; the first is a Call Option which is the option to buy a share of a certain company for a predetermined price before a predetermined date. The second is a Put Option, which is the option to sell a share of a certain company for a predetermined price before a predetermined date.
For example if you purchased 100 shares in ABC Company that traded at $50 each, you would have to invest $5000 to buy those shares. However you could buy 100 Call Options priced at $5 each, with the right to buy ABC Company at $50 any time up to a date in the future (say November 16th) and you would control the same amount of shares for only $500. If the price of ABC Company goes up by $5 and you owned the shares you would have made $500 or 10% on your $5000 investment, however because the Call Options give you the right to buy the shares at $50 and they are now worth $55 the price of the options would go up $5 as well and you would have made $500 or 100% on your $500 investment. This example demonstrates the great leverage stock options provide.
Call Options are used when you expect the price of a stock to rise, if you expect the price of a stock to fall you can buy Put Options, which as mentioned before, give you the right to sell a stock at a predetermined price. So in the example above if the price of ABC shares fell to $45 and we had bought Put Options giving us the right to sell ABC at $50, the Put Options would be worth money because you could buy ABC shares in the market for a cheaper price than you could sell them for. Wonderful isn’t it, you can make money if the stock market is rising or falling!
To summarize a stock option has four components to it:
1. The underlying stock
The stock that the option is traded on (ABC Company in the example above).
2. The exercise date
The predetermined date, before which, you can use or exercise your option. Options always expire on the third Friday of each month (November 16th in the example above).
3. The strike price
The predetermined price you can buy the stock for ($50 in the example above). 4. The type of option
Either a Call or a Put option.
Here is the first key to successful stock options investing. It is very simple: practice, practice, practice. I cannot stress enough how important practice will be to your success as a stock options trader. Trading options is an inherently risky endeavor, however by learning the keys to successful stock options trading it is possible to mitigate this risk and maximize your gains. Options are a zero sum game, which means for every winner there has to be a loser. I’m sure you want to be a winner and not a loser, right? So you must take the time to learn the fundamental theories of options trading and practice the strategies behind options trading before you risk any of your hard earned capital in the market. It is only when you are winning seven out of ten trades on paper and you are confident in your trading plan and money management techniques that you should trade in the market for real. By the time you have finished reading these articles you will have a plan and know just what those money management techniques are. Look out for Key #2 coming soon.
US Government required disclaimer: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500 Chicago, IL 60606 (1-800-678-4667).
By: Roger Cox
About the Author:
Roger Cox is a native of New Zealand and now resides in Los Angeles. President of an international freight company he decided corporate life wasn’t for him and starting his own consulting business. Roger has been successful in trading stock options, practicing and trading for more than 4 years and teaches others about trading at
http://www.prosperitywithoptions.com
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